Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.022578 0.024263 0.026018 0.027986 0.030131 0.032402 0.034992
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.019815 0.022245 0.024909 0.028058 0.031687 0.035753 0.040671
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.018130 0.021035 0.024346 0.028422 0.033328 0.039076 0.046369
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.016525 0.019675 0.023379 0.028087 0.033956 0.041091 0.050508
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.015350 0.018682 0.022703 0.027960 0.034716 0.043197 0.054792
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.014259 0.017683 0.021910 0.027572 0.035045 0.044696 0.058311
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.013517 0.017056 0.021516 0.027627 0.035896 0.046868 0.062813
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.012700 0.016269 0.020851 0.027254 0.036113 0.048154 0.066131
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.011911 0.015466 0.020106 0.026708 0.036028 0.048977 0.068797
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.011312 0.014879 0.019609 0.026455 0.036312 0.050301 0.072243
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.010765 0.014330 0.019127 0.026184 0.036532 0.051519 0.075579
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.010166 0.013677 0.018464 0.025610 0.036262 0.051975 0.077742
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.009870 0.013439 0.018375 0.025865 0.037238 0.054370 0.083152
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.009520 0.013105 0.018130 0.025872 0.037834 0.056210 0.087796
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.009287 0.012926 0.018098 0.026189 0.038915 0.058861 0.093967
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.008894 0.012496 0.017674 0.025882 0.038990 0.059891 0.097444
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008581 0.012169 0.017387 0.025766 0.039353 0.061401 0.101849
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008227 0.011765 0.016964 0.025413 0.039307 0.062214 0.105053
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.007998 0.011540 0.016803 0.025464 0.039919 0.064166 0.110462
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.007687 0.011177 0.016413 0.025125 0.039856 0.064941 0.113725
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.007357 0.010772 0.015941 0.024629 0.039495 0.065165 0.115942
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.007108 0.010484 0.015640 0.024399 0.039577 0.066174 0.119743
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.006868 0.010202 0.015338 0.024153 0.039613 0.067093 0.123424